Why traditional Indian investor is not interested in equities and other products

Five business news channels, so many newspapers, magazines and websites would not be able motivate traditional Indian investor to invest in equity and other variable return products unless the investment climate in the country is not changed significantly

He is not worried about his investments beating inflation. He abhors equity and believes it to be a gamble. Mutual funds are a strict no-no for him. He believes that investments in physical assets are as important as financial assets. He chases bank deposits and believes that insurance in an investment and not just a risk covering instruments. Media’s attempt to change his mind set towards investments has hardly worked. He continues to be the same over generations. There are no prizes for guessing it right. Welcome to the world of the traditional Indian investor, the investor who has existed for ages and has been successful as well. He has contributed significantly to the economic growth by generating one of the highest savings in the world. The recent events in the financial markets have brought focus back to this kind of investor. The turmoil in the market has shifted focus back to the strategy of this investor.
 

Before moving ahead let us look at traditional Indian investor and his investments. Investors generally make investments in two kinds of assets- financial assets and physical assets. Financial assets are bank deposits, insurance and equity while physical assets are gold, real estate and some white goods used on a day-to-day basis. As per the data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), investors in the country invested in financial assets as follows over years:
 


From this, it can be safely concluded that the majority of Indian investors are extremely conventional in approach and have no out of the box thinking. The investor has stuck to the same investments over a period of time. It is very obvious that bank deposits and insurance have been the most preferred investment option for the traditional investors. Shares and debentures are hardly preferred by the investors. The highest savings in shares has been around 7% which has fallen substantially now. The RBI data related to projection of savings  during 12th five year plan gives a bigger picture of how savings are going to be in financial and physical assets over a period of five years ( Refer: table below). It is clearly evident that bank deposits will continue to be as high as 50% of total savings. The share of insurance in total savings is also going to remain strong while that of shares and debentures will once again be consistently low.
 


What is the DNA of traditional Indian Investor?
 

Looking at the data and the nature of the financial savings made in India, the obvious question that comes to mind is why do Indian investors invest in traditional financial assets or to be more precise, ‘sarkari’ kind of assets? Why is bank deposit more important for this investor than investments in shares? Is the investor worried about volatility and is completely risk averse? The answers are both yes and no. Majority of Indian investors struggle to save because of low-income levels and hence do not want to risk their hard earned money, so they invest in traditional investment assets. It is not about financial education. In India five business news channels, so many newspapers and magazines and websites keep on bombarding investors with need for investment in equities for consistent wealth creation but this has somehow not worked. Therefore, this category of investors is fairly aware about investment options. The traditional Indian investor in keen on preserving his wealth as the ability to take risk is limited.
 

There is another group of investors, which is affluent and can take risk, but has learnt over a period of time that investment in variable investment products can be rewarding but also killing many times. This investor has been investing in the equity market but gradually, he seems to be disillusioned. The bitter experience over a period has made this investor realize that it is better to keep away from equity. The proof of the pudding is in the eating and you cannot convince an investor to invest for long term, if the returns are not good.
 

The traditional Indian investor is a very intelligent breed and knows his interest very well. The famous saying that ‘a bird in hand is worth two in the bush’ drives him. Is he doing harm to himself by not investing in equity and other variable return products? The answer is no, as long as he is meeting his financial goals. In the current market turmoil, he is sitting pretty and is not worried about what next.
 

Is the traditional Indian investor good for Indian economy? 
 

While some may argue that the traditional Indian investor is doing harm to himself, by not investing in risky, but potentially rewarding products, the fact remains that he is a boon to the Indian economy. He is a cheap source of capital and helps the economy channelize necessary savings for future investments. The deposits made by him help utilize the resources for investments in the economy. Debt is a comparatively cheaper source of capital compared to equity, and investors in India have contributed to this in a significant way, by making investments in debt products. The physical savings made by these investors sometimes become unproductive and needs to get channelized for more productive usage.
 

Is the investment profile going to undergo changes in India in the days to come? It is difficult to answer this but the fact remains that investors cannot be motivated to invest in equity and other variable return products as long as the investment climate is not changed significantly. Volatility is a part of equity investment but manipulation needs to be controlled. Better corporate governance and confidence building measures can bring more investors into the fold. But it looks difficult in the near term. The ‘Traditional Indian investor’ is here to stay.

Comments
subbu
1 decade ago
Iam a financial advisor, people tend to ask for good return on their investment, I used to tell that if they want to invest for not less than five years, I suggested them mutual funds investing in equities. Now mutual funds gives negative returns, if they had invested before five years.So,they have to invest only in FDs only for better capital return.
anurag
1 decade ago
The author is just another aam admi trying to prove he is not.
Let me put some factual arguments why stock market does not find any takers in India

1) Corporate Governance and Lack of faith in companies:
Most of the 7000 stocks trading in India do not have proper accounting practice and they bump up some of the numbers.

2)Dearth of quality:

Nearly all the companies offer commodotised products and services which can be easily replicated. Investors need to approach Bottom-top thematic approach.

3) Manipulation and speculations:

It is no secret that practices like circular trading and black money of 1 trillion dollar are making their way onto trading. Gullible investors lose their money and prefer FD ,real estate and Gold

4) Aam Admi never made any money in stock market as the market made strides from 4000 to 21000 just in 4 years of 2003-07. Rest of the period , stock market absolutely gave no returns for long investors in NIFTY.

5) Most of the money made in market in India requies use of derivative and intra day/short term technical charts which are used by few specialised traders and common people cannot do it

6) Mutual funds do offer real potential to common people but they are very selective and requires again lot of due deligence
Panna Thakkar
1 decade ago
To make the Tradational Investor to even think or dream of to come to the equity cult. The Govt, Stock brokers etc should work hard to be transparent.
There is curroption everywhere there is cheating everywhere stocks lying in demat a/cs are used by brokers.
Why then the tradational investor ever think beyond this safe comfort zone?
Gautam Haldipur
Replied to Panna Thakkar comment 1 decade ago
If as you say there is cheating in totality, the system ought to have collapsed long ago. The fact is it has not & the reason being it is vibrant, dynamic & reasonably strong. If you check your Demat A/c regularly & your Instruction stationery is with you, then you can opt to sue your DP & seek fair compensation. It is possible that it cud have happened, but the thought is honestly far fetched.

I am glad to see you ask why beyond the Comfort Zone? Here is the answer:
Comfort Zone, not just in investing but in every aspect of our life tends to bring in complacency & that is what is the beginning of a downfall.
If people understand & can perceive the future with Interest Rate Risk, Systemic Risk & several other associated factors, they will automatically venture to think beyond the Comfort Zone

Gautam Haldipur
1 decade ago
Dr.Gautam Haldipur, Hubli, Karnataka

Very interesting article indeed. Having invested & worked with different financial products across the spectrum, I would like to make the following observations:-
1. The traditional Indian Investor largely looks for GUARANTEED RETURN PRODUCTS.
2. As it stands today he is in a COMFORT ZONE which he obviously does not want to transgress.
3. The tendency/willingness to take calculated risk is missing which becomes Crystal Clear from the Excel Charts above.
4. His pristine love is for F.D.'s, Real Estate & Gold.
5. Going forward as we integrate with the Global Economy (which I think is irreversible now)the traditional Fulcrum of Investment thinking is slowly but surely going to crumble; what with Deposit rates going down, Inflation perking up & the purchasing power of people going down. Real estate is artificially overvalued without justification & could burst sooner or later. Though Gold is likely to go up, its returns parameters are going to be subdued.
6. The earlier the Investor comes to terms with this reality the better. This truth needs to be taken to him with proper qualified advisory. There is no reason why his mind set cannot change, the percentage though may not be great. With proper Risk Profiling done it is possible.
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
Replied to Gautam Haldipur comment 1 decade ago
Sir,
I am also invested in equities....I do love to take calculated risk; but your calculations go totally wrong when there are frauds &/or mis-goverance....Tell me few names of brokers who don't mis-use the POA....There is no basic safty !!!....India is full of frauds.
Gautam Haldipur
Replied to Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar comment 1 decade ago
With utmost regards to Shri Vinayak Mudholkar, may I request that I be read correctly:-
1.Calculated risk is a relative term. If you like to believe your broker with implicit unquestioned faith, then yes this definition changes. A POA would obviously be given in a PMS & yes it is open to abuse. There are other ways we can deal with this.
2.Study the subject thoroughly & build your stock valuation parameters based on your individual risk profile; most likely you may not go wrong save for for a few blips here & there. You cannot be 100% right all the time. The learning curve in this never ends; it is an ongoing process. After 38 years of investing, yes! I am still learning a lot more of new things. Well! it has taken me close to 20 years to imbibe the art of investing with care.
3. Put in simple terms if you can manage a 25% post tax return on your investment, that will be a great deal.
4.As far as the name of a broker is concerned:- My personal experience with HDFC Securities Ltd.has been fairly good.This online platform is user friendly, fairly good & exhaustive. Most of all its security features are good.However it is marginally more expensive compared to your regular brokers.Good things rarely come cheap.As a Investment Planner I have recommended this to my Client Friends. Believe me, I am yet to hear any of them complain any wrong doing there.As a friend, may I suggest you try this?
5.Last but not the least, please do not despair. There are good things that coexist with the bad things. Things are far better than they were about 20 years ago. To say that I have not had problems would be unfair. I continue to have my share of problems. The only way out is to fight your way out methodically & that is what I precisely do!
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
Replied to Gautam Haldipur comment 1 decade ago
Thank you for the explanation & suggestions....Once again thanks.
Gautam Haldipur
Replied to Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar comment 1 decade ago
Thank you Sir for your kind reply. I hope it was of use to you.
Panna Thakkar
Replied to Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar comment 1 decade ago
Yes The brokers have misused Power of attorney and have used shares lying in demat a/c .
Where is the saftey ? Why people will come to stock market.
All big names are involved in this thing.
Everywhere there is fraud cheating and lootmaar.
and Govt. is silent because these brokers are funding them
VGANESAN
1 decade ago
i AM AGREEING WITH YOU.At the same time i like to mention the indian investor is willing to take and accept political risk currency risk country risk natural calamity like flood and drought and business risk all this put together 95 percent. But in india the 95 percent risk is from manipulation and speculation and
above mentioned risks are only 5 percent.How one expect our savers to put money in equity
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to VGANESAN comment 1 decade ago
1) As employees, we are willing to risk our career and future on someone else's enterprise.

2) As customer's will are willing to consume products and services offered by these businesses

3) We will just stand and see foreigners own significant chunks of our businesses.

4) We will also see foreigners set up their business operations in our own country. And some of us will risk our careers there.

5) We will spend our entire lives in India as proud Indians.

6) We will also boast of India's progress & prosperity over the past six decades.

But when it comes to profit from India's growth we start imagining call sorts of excuses. We become the biggest prophets of doom and gloom.

Invest in Indian Businesses and profit from India's growth. India will continue to grow. Have faith.




Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
1 decade ago
If I am not wrong, during 2001 - 2003 bear market F & O was just introduced so there was a time correction as against a sharp price correction during 2012-2013. According to me during the next bull run the same F&O will lead to sharp price appreciation irrespective of fundamentals.....If you want to become wealthy grab the untouchables!!!....fundamentally sound but highly priced stocks won't make you wealthy.
Vinay
Replied to Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar comment 1 decade ago
That's a pretty nasty suggestion.
Would you buy a hotel that serves rotten food and should be closed down any time soon?

Why would you recommend people to compromise on fundamentals?

Shit like this is why people lose money. They think anything and everything will go up and keep buying until everything crumbles.
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
Replied to Vinay comment 1 decade ago
I must explain what I mean by "untouchables". During the last bear market there were stocks like Pennar Industries, Diamines & chemicals. The Book Value of both stocks was negative for few years; so they got butchered but when they recovered; they became multibaggers....The eps growth of HUL from 2000 to 2012 is just 5%; but the P/E & P/B ratio is very high. When the tide turns the distressed equities outperform. That is why Tata Capital & Icici Ventures set up a distressed equities fund & expect 25% return!!!....I am not to say each & every distressed co. will turnaround....Do you know - Filelity Liveraged Equities Fund?....It is one of the successful of its kind.(S&P was beaten by it with a 17% average return)
hasmukh
1 decade ago
Very good Article to show that Investors are now (in last few years), shying away from Equities.
I am investing in shares since last about 40 years and was quite satisfied (except during last 5/6 years or more). I am investing in IPOs, Rights and buying from market. But am a big looser from my fresh investments made in last few years. Reason? To me (i) Excessive speculation and manipulation. It appears all these F & O s have made very big damage and same must be stopped immediately (ii) Cunning Issue Managers & Advisors, who advise Cos. to price IPOs/Rights aggressively (and selling with Big Advertisements), leaving the investors to only cry. I will be interested to know experience and views of other Investors too.
Pantulu
1 decade ago
Right now common people have no interest because it is only speculators who are reaping benefits at the cost of gullible people. The share prices do not reflect the companies performance with only a couple of exceptions. There is a need to link the share prices with performance parameters so that ordinary people will know where to invest.If the market is left in the hands of speculators no improvement is possible.
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
Replied to Pantulu comment 1 decade ago
"To link the share prices with performance parameters" is the best idea!....no doubt!....but we are to live in the world which we don't like.
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to Pantulu comment 1 decade ago
While investing in stocks, being gullible is a major handicap. Sceptics tend to survive and prosper; to be sceptical is a necessary precondition for becoming a better investor.
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
1 decade ago
If you look at the eps growth of HUL (one of the most defencives)since 2000 to 2012 it is roughly 5%(cagr) which is equal to the average after tax returns from bank F. D.(if you are in the 30% tax bracket.) If you want anything beyond that try to withstand volatility!....Though ideally speculation is untouchable; in practice it is not so!!!
Nilesh KAMERKAR
1 decade ago
Investing in market linked investment products is a matter of individual interest. But before everything else it is an act of faith. If done correctly it yields disproportionately higher rewards. Contrary to popular beliefs, investing like any other profession calls for putting in lot of hard work & continuous learning. – While most people would love to have superior returns, not many are keen to work towards it.
Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar
Replied to Nilesh KAMERKAR comment 1 decade ago
Sir,....I always appreciate your views....In addition to hard work & continuous learning one needs lot of courage because stocks with good fundamentals & relative strength crashed by 50-60% from their respective 52 week high(eg. Yes Bank, Dena Bank)
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to Vinayak Bhimarao Mudholkar comment 1 decade ago
Agree. As Benjamin Graham said

"Have the courage of your knowledge and experience. If you have formed a conclusion from the facts and if you know your judgment is sound, act on it - even though others may hesitate or differ."

pravsemilo
1 decade ago
I beg to differ. I think the averseness to equity is also due to financial education. It has been embossed into our minds that equities are risky.

In the circle of people that I know, there is hardly anyone who invests in equities and is even aware of mutual funds. I have trouble explaining the concept of SIP to them. The generation above me never invested in equities and so didn't I in the early part of my career. Those who did coax me to invest in IPOs and do short term profit booking - don't bother about the short term capital gain. My colleagues have bought homes and invested their savings in it. In fact, you get criticized for taking a term plan.

I do agree that Indian savers give importance to safety, but they are not aware of financial and economic jargon like inflation, asset allocation etc.
Free Helpline
Legal Credit
Feedback