Super Typhoon Bavi, currently classified as a Category-5 storm, could severely disrupt shipping operations and commodity supply chains across the Pacific as it approaches Taiwan and China's eastern coast later this week, according to maritime intelligence firm Signal Group.
In
a report, Signal Group says the typhoon is expected to make landfall or reach the Chinese coast on Friday, 10 July 2026, with wind gusts of up to 100knots. The storm poses significant risks to maritime navigation, port operations and cargo movements.
According to the report, weather forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), along with
tracking on Windy, show Bavi heading towards Taiwan and China. Vessel tracking through the Signal and AXSMarine Windy.com plugin already indicates that ships are altering their routes to avoid the storm's projected path.
By Friday, Bavi is expected to move across one of the world's busiest shipping corridors. Forecasts indicate wind gusts of up to 100 knots and waves of around 12 metres with an 11-second wave period, creating hazardous conditions for vessels and potentially disrupting normal port operations.
Signal Group says the impact is likely to be felt across all major shipping segments, including dry bulk carriers, container vessels, tankers and gas carriers.
Container shipping could face increased congestion if Chinese ports temporarily suspend or scale back operations as a safety precaution. Slower cargo handling at dry bulk terminals may further add to congestion and reduce vessel availability across Pacific trade routes.
The report identifies several commodities that could be particularly affected if the typhoon significantly disrupts Chinese ports. These include iron ore, thermal coal, coking coal, bauxite, soybeans and nickel ore which, together, account for a substantial share of cargo volumes discharged in China.
Any disruption to the unloading of these commodities could have ripple effects across global supply chains, particularly for industries dependent on raw material imports into China.
According to Signal Group, vessel diversions and port congestion could also tighten vessel supply in the Pacific market, potentially affecting freight rates and shipping schedules in the short term.
The report says Typhoon Bavi underscores the seasonal risks facing global shipping during the Northwest Pacific typhoon season. With the season now underway, periods of elevated wind activity are expected to continue through November, increasing the likelihood of further weather-related disruptions to maritime trade and logistics.
Shipping companies, commodity traders and logistics operators will need to closely monitor weather developments and adjust sailing schedules and port calls to minimise operational risks as the typhoon season progresses, the report says.
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