Should retail investors add govt bonds to their investment portfolio?

Government bonds are rarely explored as an investment option by retail investors, due to numerous reasons. The current scenario, however, offers a unique opportunity to the retail investors to add government bonds to their portfolio

Unlike equities and some other popular investment options where they have fair understanding of investment process, retail investors have remained away from Government Bonds in the past. With bond yields touching close to 10% in some of the central government bonds, it is probably the right time for investors to explore the option of investment in government bonds, especially, considering the fact that the equity market has hit investors really hard.
 

What are the benefits of buying government bonds and why should retail investors add these securities to their portfolio? The reasons are many. The first reason is the prevailing high yield to maturity on these bonds. The yield to maturity (YTM) on a bond is the rate of return that an investor would earn if he bought the bond at its current market price and held it until maturity. Bond prices have fallen substantially during the last one month because of various measures announced by RBI to control the fall in the rupee. With the fall in prices of bond, the yield to maturity of the bonds has gone up, making them an attractive investment option for a new investor. While existing investors in these bonds are bleeding, the new entrants can enjoy the benefit of high returns.
 

The second reason for buying these bonds is that they provide investors an option to hold these bonds for fairly long period. This essentially means that long-term return can be expected from these bonds on a consistent basis. For instance, today an investor can buy 8.32% government security with a maturity year of 2032 and expect a yield to maturity of approximately 9.5% for next 20 years, which will be a good return for a fairly long period of time. The investor must hold these bonds till maturity to get this benefit. Selling of bond in between may not assure this return. If you compare this return to the 10 year return offered for National Saving Certificate (NSC), return from government bond looks very attractive.
 

The third benefit of buying government bonds is that they have nil credit risk. Technically nil credit risk can be debated, but we can expect that the government of India will not default on its obligations as it has never done the same in past. The absence of credit risk makes these bonds an attractive investment option.
 

Now the most important question, “How can these bonds be bought?” The first requirement to buy these bonds is that you need to have a demat account. There is no need to open a separate demat account for these bonds. Primary dealers authorized by RBI provide facility to buy government securities. The list of primary dealers is available on the website of RBI. You need to check with these primary dealers about the facility that they provide to buy government bonds. Some online portals are also available which provide this facility.
 

Last but not the least, should you buy these bonds? Government bonds are safe and are currently offering good return option for long term. However, investments in these bonds are taxable and you need to check post tax return. Even if we consider post tax return, these bonds are looking attractive at the current yield to maturity return.
 

(Vivek Sharma has worked for 17 years in the stock market, debt market and banking. He is a post graduate in Economics and MBA in Finance. He writes on personal finance and economics and is invited as an expert on personal finance shows.)

Comments
vivek shah
1 decade ago
Thanks for the information about attractive Govt Bonds. Would appreciate if you could inform as where can I find the list of such bonds and their maturity dates.
vivek sharma
Replied to vivek shah comment 1 decade ago
please check http://www.ccilindia.com website during business hours.
vivek shah
Replied to vivek sharma comment 1 decade ago
Thanx buddy
Milind Chitnis
1 decade ago
Even if a small investor decides to invest in gilts, how does he go about buying these & more importantly selling them if the need arises in interm 2o years?
Vinay Joshi
1 decade ago
Dear Mr. Vivek Sharma,

Never ever suggest this idea to retail investors! That too in the ongoing scenario! Even HNI are scary.

What is 9.75% after 20yrs in 2032? Who can lock? For what? Does this amount to 'PRUDENT' an investment?

As a matter of fact the yield on 10yr benchmark grew to 9.25%.

Are you aware that rise in bond yields have depreciated 45KCR of banks bond holding & they will have to set aside money to cover M2M loses.

Do you know the highest paper 12.23%, cash management bill, 28 days offered! Amt 11KCR! Mon19. Tues 20, 12KCR redemption of 1998 bonds. Sept 3, 46KCR redemption, borrowing which will be at still higher yield & BUT who will be buying bonds? Markets least interested.

Can retail investors go thro' to get it? How?

Indicators suggest that call money 10.2%, 10YG-Sec 8.79% at 86.82, interbank overnight 10.38%, NSE-MIBOR[FX] 10.36 et al. Can retail investors take a call on these aspects of 'TREASURY' evaluations? Sooner the yields will be lower. Treasuries also averse.

Regards,
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to Vinay Joshi comment 1 decade ago
Dear Mr. Joshi,

1) Why are we confusing money market 'treasury' instruments with a 20 year term investment? 12.23% for 91 days would really mean nothing when compared with 9% over 20 years.

2) Retail investors do not need to bother themselves about over night call rates. Their problem is to seek decent return commensurate with the risk.

3) What is wrong with 9% plus risk free return? & that too over a 20 year period. It makes perfect sense for risk averse savers/investors.



Vinay Joshi
Replied to Nilesh KAMERKAR comment 1 decade ago
Dear Mr. Nilesh Kamerkar,

The author of the article is not answering, he can't & YOU state that 20yr gilts are best bet!

In the first place i've said 12.23% is for 28days bond & PL explain to me 12.23% instead of 9.75%.

What is your understanding of gilts? What is meant by "FREE RETURN"? 20yr period!

What 'PERFECT' sense it makes? Can you exemplify?

Await your answer, if any.

Regards,
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to Vinay Joshi comment 1 decade ago
Dear Mr. Vinay Joshi,

Here we go . . .

1) Please read again, have not said, 20yr G-Sec is the best bet.

2) 12.23% is for 28 days only & not 12.23% per annum for 20 years.
Thus not comparable.

3) It is not FREE RETURN, but,
RISK FREE RETURN because GSECs are issued by GOI, they enjoy highest credit rating among debt issues here.

4) My understanding of 20 YR GILTs is it being a 20 year bond issued by GOI if bought at yesterdays prices (21/8/2013) would have fetched 9% plus.

5) Why it makes perfect sense: It makes perfect sense for someone who is risk averse and not for everyone.


Vinay Joshi
Replied to Nilesh KAMERKAR comment 1 decade ago
Dear Mr.Nilesh Kamerkar,

IN THE FIRST PLACE THE AUTHOUR OF THE ARTICLE IS NOT ANSWERING THE MIS-SELLING WHICH ML VOCIFEROUSLY TAKES UP YET IT CAN PUT SUCH UNDIFFERENTIATED ASPECTS!? [In this case the author is not selling BUT advocating / advising /luring investors to gilts.]

Anyway as you profess - buying bonds at Aug21, prices WHICH has eroded 45KCR of BANK BOND values, COZ - WHAT IS THE COZ - yields rise. Do you understand price elasticity & Y2M. Why RBI resorted to other mechanism to ward off at least 30KCR loses SO AS not to be in banks B/S?

Re - 12.237% v. 9% 2oyrs, pl check out yourself to make a statement.

Of course its not FREE return & neither tax free BUT MOST RISKY - tho' guaranteed by GOI - BUT NOT RETURNS!??

Regards,
Nilesh KAMERKAR
Replied to Vinay Joshi comment 1 decade ago
Dear Mr. Joshi,

Appreciate your point of view.

Also 'Risk' means different things to different people. If you think long term sovereign debt (GSEC) is most risky, then, Who can argue? You are entitled to your opinion.

Thank you.
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