Getting instant reactions and opinions from the popular media is fine, but when you need the cold truth about the Budget where do you turn? Ameet Patel and Debashis Basu explained the fine prints of Budget to savers at an event organised by Moneylife Foundation
India's new Finance Minister Arun Jaitley delivered his maiden budget on the 10th July. Budget
2014 had huge expectations tethered to it and the stock markets too reflected these expectations. To take stock of what the budget did well and where it failed, Moneylife Foundation organised a seminar with Ameet Patel and Debashis Basu in Mumbai.
Ameet Patel, a Chartered Accountant and partner at Sudit K Parekh & Co, spoke about changes in taxation and innovations (or the lack of it) in the budget. Debashis Basu, Moneylife Foundation's Founder Trustee, took on how the budget would affect investments and the investment climate. Their talks were followed by a lively interaction between both the experts and with the audience.
Historically, budgets have become more and more muted in their effect on the economic and investment climate. Mr Patel began therefore, by listing out some expectations that India had
from this budget, especially on the tax front. Mr Patel gave a thumbs down to the fact that contrary to expectations, there was no change in the tax rates, there was a change in the DDT calculation(which may result in lesser dividend payouts) and that the Surcharge and Education Cess had not been removed.
Among the good moves by the FM, the increase in the tax slabs for senior citizens was a good change, he said. He added, "the rise in the income threshold for non senior citizens who pay no tax, would put more money in the pockets of taxpayers." People who earn upto Rs.2,50,000 a year, would owe no tax to the government, changed from the previous limit of Rs.2,00,000.
He said, "'Achhe Din' are indeed here for foreign investors," and rued that similar benefits had not been made available to domestic investors. On the changes in taxation for debt funds, he said, “They might as well shut down the debt funds.”
Mr Patel said one of the biggest plus points in the budget was a statement of intent on rolling out the Goods and Services Tax (GST). Even though there was no firm commitment on a proposed date for introduction of GST, the Finance Minister assured states that their concerns would be taken care of and a consensus would be built with the states for a smooth roll-out of the GST. Another good sign, according to Mr. Patel, was the clear message from the government, that they do not believe in using retrospective taxation, and would not use legislation with retrospective effect except in the rarest of rare cases.
In sum, the biggest positives for taxpayers, according to Mr. Patel, were the following:
Mr Basu took the stage to speak on how the Budget affects future investments for investors and
savers. He began with the macro view of the economy and pointing out that the budget did not deliver smaller government. The borrowing needs of the government, the interest outgo and have the needed spending cuts, or improved climate for doing business and so the fiscal deficit remained a serious impediment to bringing down inflation and interest rates. The bugdet has changed the tax treatment of non-equity funds, but this would not affected Moneylife readers because Moneylife has never advocated non-equity funds like Monthly Income Plan, Capital Protection Funds and hybrid multi-assets funds.
For investors, Br. Basu re-iterated the Moneylife philosophy, "less is more and simpler is better when it comes to investments." He listed out the types of investments to stay away from for all investors, which are, Capital Protection Funds, Monthly Income Plans and Gold ETFs.
For those who were investing themselves, even investments in Debt Funds and FMPs was not the best idea. He said, "with the change in tax treatment for FMPs, you will need to hold them for atleast 3 years to get the tax benefit. This would mean that you were taking a long term interest rate call when investing in these products," Moneylife has written before, about how difficult it is to predict interest rate movements for even experts.
Mr Basu said the given the budget, the economy was likely to take longer to recover. Over this period, the rupee was unlikely to strengthen soon and inflation would continue to be at current levels for a while. In such a scenario trust ONLY high quality stocks, he said. “I would tend to favour only large cap funds and select midcap funds, and stocks in the IT, pharma and consumer goods” he said. He ended his talk by saying that you could still “keep the faith but keep a watch out” regarding the new administration and Finance Minster.
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Disappointing coverage!!
Sir,
You need to know where to look. Coverage of an event, in any media, is only a summary.
If you want to see the detailed coverage, please watch the video.
You may have noticed that this is part of the effort the Moneylife makes at investor education through Moneylife Foundation -- a Not-for-profit entity.
The videos of each event are available at http://foundation.moneylife.in
You need to go to the website and look under 'Events".
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best
Team Moneylife Foundation